Changpeng Zhao (CZ), the former CEO of Binance, has made a forecast for the crypto world, suggesting that just a tiny percentage will succeed in the long run.
On March 17, CZ responded to an X post by EmperorBTC, a crypto influencer on X, who analyzed the psychology of actors in the crypto market and claimed that the overwhelming majority are not equipped to handle it. EmperorBTC said, “The bar to succeed in crypto is very low.”
EmperorBTC explained that 80% of crypto investors are “tourists” who enter the market based on news dynamics and leave when sentiment changes. Over 10% make trade decisions based on “foolish influencers.”
He added that 5% are just posing to be wealthy, leaving only 5% who understand cryptocurrencies.
CZ noted that even if there are 5% who actually are insiders in the crypto space, most of them cannot beat Bitcoin anyway.
According to CZ, among the 5%, only 4% trade or allocate capital toward blockchain projects, yet they fail to outperform buy-and-hold Bitcoin.
By comparison, long-term Bitcoin holders exceed 99% of all crypto market participants and outperform most traditional asset classes without breaking a sweat, he said. At the same time, though, he said climbing to the top 1% of crypto takes an “extraordinary effort,” work, and knowledge of the market.
CZ said, “4% actively trade or work on projects but won’t outperform Bitcoin. Holding BTC surpasses 99% of crypto participants and other asset types, by doing practically nothing.”
CZ’s comments come as Bitcoin is trading at $82,930, with the resistance at $85,000, amid record outflows for the digital asset sector.
